今年上半年，在全球多個(gè)主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體出現(xiàn)貿(mào)易逆差的情況下，中國(guó)的貿(mào)易順差卻達(dá)到了2.48萬(wàn)億元。專(zhuān)家指出，中國(guó)的貿(mào)易順差有利于穩(wěn)定匯率和通脹水平，而且中國(guó)將繼續(xù)致力于穩(wěn)定全球供應(yīng)鏈。

China will play a key role in underpinning the global supply chain in the second half of the year amid government policy measures to stabilize the economy while tackling the impact of COVID-19 via targeted means, experts said.

專(zhuān)家稱(chēng)，在政府精準(zhǔn)防控疫情和穩(wěn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的政策措施下，下半年中國(guó)對(duì)于加強(qiáng)全球供應(yīng)鏈將發(fā)揮關(guān)鍵作用。

Although major economies such as Germany, France, South Korea and the United States saw trade deficits in recent months, the surplus of China's foreign trade topped 2.48 trillion yuan ($367 billion) in the first half, as exports soared after the COVID-19 resurgences were brought under control in the Yangtze River Delta region in May and June, data from the General Administration of Customs showed.

近幾個(gè)月來(lái)，盡管德國(guó)、法國(guó)、韓國(guó)和美國(guó)等主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體都出現(xiàn)了貿(mào)易逆差，中國(guó)上半年外貿(mào)順差卻達(dá)到了2.48萬(wàn)億元。海關(guān)總署的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，在疫情得到控制后，長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)5月和6月的出口額大幅增長(zhǎng)。

As China's trade surplus rose significantly to $97.94 billion in June from $78.76 billion in May, experts said the growth has helped buffer the yuan's exchange rate with other major currencies and further stabilize the domestic inflation rate, reducing the need to raise interest rates or intervene on the currency exchange rate.

中國(guó)的貿(mào)易順差從5月的787.6億美元升至6月的979.4億美元，專(zhuān)家稱(chēng)這一大幅增長(zhǎng)有助于緩和其他主要貨幣對(duì)人民幣匯率的沖擊，能進(jìn)一步穩(wěn)定國(guó)內(nèi)通脹率，也降低了加息或干預(yù)貨幣匯率的需求。

As the US Federal Reserve raised key interest rates steeply to curb runaway inflation in the second quarter, the euro, the pound and the Japanese yen all plunged against the US dollar. The currency depreciation in these major economies has brought stagflation and downside risks, said Xu Hongcai, deputy director of the China Association of Policy Science's economic policy committee.

第二季度受美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)為抑制惡性通脹大幅加息影響，歐元、英鎊和日元紛紛對(duì)美元貶值。中國(guó)政策科學(xué)研究會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)政策委員會(huì)副主任徐洪才指出，這些主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體的貨幣貶值引發(fā)了滯漲和下行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。

As many traditional manufacturing powerhouses such as Germany and South Korea must import large amounts of raw materials to meet the demand from the local manufacturing sector, the impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, high inflation rate in the US, and soaring global energy and commodity prices have all pushed these countries to spend more on import of both energy and production materials since the second quarter, Xu said.

由于德國(guó)和韓國(guó)等許多傳統(tǒng)制造業(yè)強(qiáng)國(guó)必須進(jìn)口大量原材料來(lái)滿(mǎn)足本地制造業(yè)需求，受俄烏沖突、美國(guó)高通脹、全球能源和商品價(jià)格飆升的影響，第二季度以來(lái)這些國(guó)家被迫增加用于進(jìn)口能源和生產(chǎn)材料的支出。

Even though facing imported inflationary pressure, China, supported by its ongoing industrial transformation and upgrading, will continue to work toward stabilizing the global supply chain, said Wei Qijia, a researcher at the Economic Forecasting Department of the State Information Center.

國(guó)家信息中心預(yù)測(cè)部研究員魏琪嘉表示，雖然面臨著輸入性通脹壓力，中國(guó)在當(dāng)前產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的支持下仍將繼續(xù)致力于穩(wěn)定全球供應(yīng)鏈。

He said China's highly concentrated supply chains, efficient productivity, relatively lower domestic costs of industrial power and production materials, as well as many trade partners' heavy dependence on its industrial goods and semifinished products, will keep the growth rate of the nation's trade surplus within a reasonable range in the coming months.

魏琪嘉指出，中國(guó)擁有最完整的的供應(yīng)鏈、高效的生產(chǎn)率、相對(duì)較低的工業(yè)用電和生產(chǎn)原料價(jià)格，再加上很多貿(mào)易伙伴都嚴(yán)重依賴(lài)中國(guó)的工業(yè)產(chǎn)品和半成品，這將使中國(guó)的貿(mào)易順差增速在未來(lái)數(shù)月保持在合理范圍內(nèi)。

"China does not pursue trade surplus on purpose. The accelerated trade surplus growth in the first half of the year was mainly attributable to the epidemic-induced import volume contraction," said Wei Jianguo, vice-president of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges in Beijing.

中國(guó)國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)交流中心副理事長(zhǎng)魏建國(guó)表示，中國(guó)并非有意追求貿(mào)易順差，上半年貿(mào)易順差增速加快主要應(yīng)歸因于疫情引發(fā)的進(jìn)口量減少。

He predicted that China's trade surplus growth may slow down during the second half of the year, as the nation is expected to import large amounts of energy, minerals and machinery to speed up effective infrastructure investment in pursuit of a more vigorous economic recovery.

魏建國(guó)預(yù)測(cè)，中國(guó)下半年貿(mào)易順差的增速可能會(huì)放緩，為了加速有效基建投資，為經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇添活力，我國(guó)預(yù)計(jì)會(huì)進(jìn)口大量能源、礦產(chǎn)品和機(jī)器。

Zhang Jianping, head of the center for regional economic cooperation at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, said a certain amount of uncertainty shrouds China's second-half exports due to fluctuations in global market demand. But, given the better-than-expected export performance during the first half, China should accelerate effective policy implementation to promote robust growth of foreign trade.

中國(guó)國(guó)際貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)合作研究院區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作研究中心主任張建平稱(chēng)，由于全球市場(chǎng)需求的波動(dòng)，下半年中國(guó)出口存在著一定的不確定性。但是，在上半年出口表現(xiàn)好于預(yù)期的情況下，中國(guó)應(yīng)加快落實(shí)有效政策，促進(jìn)外貿(mào)的強(qiáng)勁增長(zhǎng)。

Only by encouraging and facilitating enterprises to receive new business orders could the nation expand export market space amid uncertainties, he said.

他指出，只有鼓勵(lì)和助力企業(yè)接到新訂單，國(guó)家才能在充滿(mǎn)不確定性的環(huán)境中拓展出口市場(chǎng)空間。

Nio, China's new energy vehicle manufacturer, is one such enterprise in pursuit of more business, said Zhang Hui, vice-president of Nio Europe. In addition to exporting electric vehicles to Norway, it is building its first overseas plant in Hungary to support its expansion in Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and Denmark later this year.

蔚來(lái)汽車(chē)歐洲副總裁張暉指出，中國(guó)新能源汽車(chē)生產(chǎn)商蔚來(lái)就是尋求更多商機(jī)的企業(yè)之一。除了向挪威出口電動(dòng)汽車(chē)，蔚來(lái)正在匈牙利建設(shè)首個(gè)海外工廠以支持其今年下半年在德國(guó)、荷蘭、瑞典和丹麥的擴(kuò)張計(jì)劃。

Nio's Hungary factory is expected to be operational in September and serve as a production, service and R&D center for the company's power products, including battery-swapping stations in Europe, said Zhang.

張暉表示，蔚來(lái)汽車(chē)的匈牙利工廠有望在9月開(kāi)始運(yùn)營(yíng)，并作為蔚來(lái)電動(dòng)汽車(chē)的生產(chǎn)、服務(wù)和研發(fā)中心，包括在歐洲的換電站。

英文來(lái)源：中國(guó)日?qǐng)?bào)

翻譯&編輯：丹妮